33a: Population Doubling Explanation
Population growth can be a fascinating and pretty darn accurate tool that can be used to help determine the age of mankind. Since human generation times are pretty static, at about 20 to 30 years, and averages of the number of offspring for each human female/couple can be determined with pretty good accuracy, human population growth can act as a very reasonable time clock that can be used to determine how long mankind has existed on Earth. I’ve constructed several graphs that will help clarify the parameters for a population study of the human race for the last 200,000 years. It is very difficult to discuss this subject with evolutionauts who continually mix parameters and definitions. This makes discussion difficult to impossible. Also for those of you who may not understand the discussion on population, these examples should help.
These graphs have very simplified numbers and time spans for ease of understanding, and clarity. This first graph shows a population of a multi-cellular organism that grows from 2 to 128 in 60 years. The starting population is fixed at 2, which is the minimum required for procreation, of course; one male and one female. For you evolutionauts, this number has NOTHING to do with Adam and Eve, it is only used as a starting point. Using a larger population for a starting point serves to make things worse for evolution. So, 2 is given (fixed) as the starting point, 128 is the final population and is also fixed. For simplicity, the graph uses a 60 year time span. This number is fixed, as is the number of years evolution says man has inhabited the earth. So, the starting number (2), finish number (128), and time span(60 years) are all fixed, and cannot be changed. In this example, the population has doubled six times. The six doublings are absolutely necessary to reach the final population of 128. So that number is fixed. The doublings can be calculated as 2 times itself 6 times, or 2x2x2x2x2x2x2, or 2 to the 7th power, which is 128. In this example, knowing the number of times 2 has doubled, and the total time span of 60 years, we can calculate that the AVERAGE DOUBLING TIME SPAN which again, on average occurred every ten years in this example. (60 divided by 6,the time between each doubling). In this case, doubling occurred seven times to reach the final fixed population of 128. So the AVERAGE DOUBLING number is 7, and is fixed. To summarize this graph:
(1) STARTING POPULATION for this sample graph: 2
(2) FINAL POPULATION for this sample graph: 128
(3) AVERAGE DOUBLING TIME SPAN for this sample graph: 10 years on the graph
(4) NUMBER OF TIMES POPULATION MUST DOUBLE to go from 2 to 128: 6
All of the factors that increase or decrease populations are already factored in to the ending populations. All disease, pestilence, war, murder, holocausts, starvation, everything. All are already in, as the final population is what it is. Period. When I discuss this information with evolutionauts, they continually want to add in population reducers. I have a difficult time getting them to realize the final population has factored in all population reducing factors. As is usual, instead of facing the facts and numbers that are real, they will continually bring up, “What about war and sickness.” They do not get the idea that those are in. So I hope my example will thwart that defense before it starts.
In my discussion I talk about the doubling of a population, how long that takes historically, and how that relates to the time span for humans on the planet earth. The above graph is an example showing that a population can double, and halve, increases and decreases, according to the conditions and factors surrounding that population. For this sample organism, the rise and fall STILL must yield a final population of 128 because the final population is fixed. All of the conditions, such as disease, starvation, pestilence, war, et al, have already been factored in. If there were LESS of these factors, the population would be more than 128 But we are fixed at 128. There could be more doublings than the six exampled in the original graph. But the NET EFFECT, doublings minus halvings, rises minus falls, will still yield the AVERAGE DOUBLINGS of 6 for this example. So this graph shows the ACTUAL POPULATION CHANGES. The ACTUAL POPULATION DOUBLINGS and ACTUAL POPULATION HALVINGS can be calculated from this graph.
This graph show the average yearly population increase, going from 2 to 128. The average increase is calculated as 128 minus 2 (126) , divided by the number of years (60). The average per year increase is 2.1 per year, or 21 per decade. Again, no factors or conditions can change these numbers, as the starting, and ending populations are fixed, and the time span is as well. The conditions and factors are already figured in.
Now that you understand population doubling, you will see how using these rather simple calculations can make it easier to understand and rate the timelines given by ev-illusionists. All you have to do now to test their validity is to plug in evolution’s numbers. Ev-illusionists say modern man first appeared on Earth 200,000 years ago. So that number is fixed and equates to the 60 years of my example. The population of the Earth in 2025 will be 8 billion. 8 billion parallels the population of 128 in my example. The starting number is 2, as it takes two to procreate, the exact same number as is in my example. So 2 is the minimum population that can be started with and is the given population 200,000 years ago. 200,000 years is the given and locked timespan. 8 billion is the given and locked ending population. With this information the number of doublings and the timespan between mankind’s population of 2 through 8 billion can be easily calculated, just like they were with my example.